Domestic coffee prices remained unchanged on July 14, 2025
Monday, July 14,2025
AsemconnectVietnam - According to Kinhtedothi, domestic coffee prices on July 14, 2025 ranged from VND89,500 to 90,300/kg, stable compared to the same time yesterday.
Last week, increased Robusta inventories on the exchange and a stronger USD contributed to price declines. Experts predict the downward trend may persist this week.
• Di Linh, Lâm Hà, Bảo Lộc (Lâm Đồng Province): VND89,500/kg
• Cư M’gar (Đắk Lắk): VND90,300/kg
• Ea H’leo, Buôn Hồ: VND90,200/kg
• Đắk Nông (Lâm Đồng): VND90,300/kg
• Gia Nghĩa, Đắk R’lấp: VND90,200/kg
• Gia Lai (Chư Prông): VND90,200/kg; Pleiku, La Grai: VND90,100/kg
• Kon Tum (Quảng Ngãi Province): VND90,100/kg
Global Market:
At the latest session close:
• London Robusta:
o Sept 2025: USD3,216/tonne (↓USD104)
o Nov 2025: USD3,170/tonne (↓USD104)
• New York Arabica:
o Sept 2025: 286.5 cents/lb (↓1.3 cents)
o Dec 2025: 280.45 cents/lb (↓1.65 cents)
Weekly summary:
• Robusta: ↓USD399/tonne
• Arabica: ↓3.1 cents/lb
• Vietnam’s domestic market lost an average of VND9,000/kg
Both exchanges are under pressure due to rising supply.
According to Safras & Mercado, as of July 9, 69% of Brazil’s 2025/26 coffee crop had been harvested, up from 66% a year ago.
• Robusta harvest: 88% completed
• Arabica harvest: 58% completed
Additionally, Robusta is facing pressure from signs of rising Vietnamese supply.
Vietnam’s General Statistics Office reported coffee exports from Jan–Jun 2025 rose 4.1% YoY to 943,000 tonnes.
The U.S. has announced a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil starting August 1, a steep hike from the previously announced 10% rate. Brazil, the largest global producer, supplies about 42% of Arabica and 33% of Robusta coffee worldwide and accounts for one-third of U.S. green coffee imports.
Despite the London market entering oversold territory, complex global trade policies may deter speculative buying. Experts expect the downward trend to persist this week.
Coffee has once again emerged as a star performer among agro-forestry-fishery exports in the first half of 2025, with both volume and value registering strong growth despite ongoing global challenges in supply and climate conditions.
According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment (MAE), Vietnam exported an estimated 953,900 tonnes of coffee worth 5.45 billion USD in the first six months of 2025, increasing by 5.3% in volume and 67.5% in value compared to the same period in 2024.
The average export price surged by 59.1% year-on-year, reaching 5,708 USD per tonne.
Germany, Italy and Spain remained Vietnam’s top three coffee importers, accounting for 16.3, 7.9, and 7.4% of total exports respectively. Notably, export value to Germany more than doubled in the first five months of the year, while Italy saw a 45.1% rise and Spain 55.8%.
Among Vietnam’s top 15 export markets, the most significant increase came from Mexico, with export value soaring 71.6 times, while China recorded the lowest increase at 22.9%.
Deputy Minister Phung Duc Tien highlighted that Vietnam has already met its original 2025 coffee export target of 5.5 billion USD in just six months. With several months still ahead, the country is now expected to reach 7.5 billion USD in coffee exports by year-end, an increase of 36.9% year-on-year.
The outlook for Vietnam’s coffee sector remains favourable despite some production concerns.
The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has forecast that global coffee production in the 2024–25 season will reach 174.4 million bags, up 2.98% compared to the previous crop. Meanwhile, global consumption is expected to be only 169.36 million bags, creating a potential surplus of more than nine million bags.
Major producers are expected to boost output, with Brazil reaching 65 million bags, Indonesia 11.25 million bags (up 2%) and Vietnam 31 million bags after October 2025 (up 6.9%), expected to be harvested from October 2025.
T.Huong
Source: Vitic
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