AsemconnectVietnam - According to Kinhtedothi, coffee prices in Vietnam ranged between VND95,500 and 96,000 per kilogram on June 23, 2025.

The domestic coffee market remains lackluster as new crop supplies from Brazil continue to flood the market. However, several factors may help support coffee prices in the short term.
In Lam Dong province (Di Linh, Lam Ha, Bao Loc), coffee was purchased at VND95,500/kg.
In Dak Lak province, prices were VND96,000/kg in Cu M’gar, Ea H’leo, and Buon Ho districts.
Similarly, Dak Nong province reported coffee prices at VND96,000/kg, both in Gia Nghia and Dak R’lap.
In Gia Lai province, prices were VND96,000/kg in Chu Prong, and VND95,900/kg in Pleiku and La Grai.
In Kon Tum province, coffee was purchased at VND95,900/kg.
Domestic prices continued to decline compared to the same time yesterday.
Global Coffee Market
At the close of the latest trading session, Robusta coffee prices on the London exchange for July 2025 delivery fell by $147/ton to $3,887/ton, and September 2025 delivery dropped by $150/ton to $3,737/ton.
On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee for July 2025 delivery decreased by 7.25 cents/lb to 315.05 cents/lb, and September 2025 delivery fell by 7.85 cents/lb to 309.95 cents/lb.
In the past week, Robusta lost $551/ton, and Arabica dropped 34.65 cents/lb. Domestic prices also declined, losing an average of VND16,000 – 17,000/kg.
According to expert Nguyen Quang Binh, escalating global armed conflicts have driven crude oil prices sharply higher. In this context, commodities that were once considered safe-haven investments—like Robusta, Arabica, and cocoa—have also fallen.
Since the beginning of the year, returns on cocoa have dropped 27%, Robusta 19.5%, and Arabica is down 1.5%. “Capital is being swept out of coffee and cocoa markets,” Nguyen Quang Binh commented on his personal social media page.
The coffee market is expected to remain weak in the near term due to the ongoing influx of new crop supplies from Brazil. However, Nguyen Quang Binh noted two factors that could support a short-term rebound in prices: frost in Brazil and a weakening U.S. dollar.
Brazil is currently in its winter season. If deep cold snaps occur, they could affect the progress and quality of the ongoing coffee harvest. Meanwhile, pressure from the U.S. government is mounting on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates more aggressively. On June 12, the Fed decided to keep its policy rate at 4.25%–4.5%, a level maintained since December 2024.
Following the decision, President Donald Trump criticized the Fed, calling for a rate cut of at least 2 percentage points. He argued that the Fed is slowing economic growth and increasing public debt costs.
Brazil has nearly completed harvesting its Robusta crop, with production estimated at around 25 million tons—marking a bumper season. In the context of ample supply, stagnant demand, and ongoing global conflicts, investors have shifted capital away from coffee to other commodities such as gold and crude oil, causing sharp declines in agricultural prices.
Coffee exports reached a new record of 4.7 billion USD in the first five months of this year, driven by surges in shipments to major markets including the EU and the US, the latest updates from Vietnam Customs showed.
In May alone, exports totalled nearly 149,000 tonnes, worth 860 million USD, an increase of 60.5% in volume and nearly 2.2 times in value year-on-year.
Although export volume dropped slightly by 0.6% in January to May, export value spiked by 62.3% on record high export prices. The export prices averaged 5,709 USD per tonne, up 63.2%.
The EU remained the largest coffee export market of Vietnam, importing more than 367,000 tonnes worth 2 billion USD, a rise of 10.2% in volume and 81.9% in value.
Exports to the US also increased sharply, by 6.3% in volume to 54,310 tonnes and 72.4% in value to 299 million USD.
Exports to emerging markets also soared drastically with shipments to Algeria doubling and to Mexico by 39 times and South Africa by 17 times.
Challenges ahead
Despite impressive growth, Vietnam’s coffee exports are facing with challenges, especially risks from global policy uncertainties and downward trend of global prices.
According to the Import-Export Department under the Ministry of Industry and Trade, the price drop comes as Brazil and Indonesia are entering new harvest seasons. Brazil’s coffee crop is expected to increase by 0.5% to 65 million bags in 2025-26 harvest season while Vietnam’s output is forecast to increase by 6.9% to 31 million bags, according to the US Department of Agriculture.
However, the department said that Vietnam’s coffee export outlook remains optimistic, projecting the full-year export value at 7 billion USD.
Vietnam earned 5.4 billion USD from exporting coffee in 2024.
T.Huong
Source: Vitic