AsemconnectVietnam - If the scale of turnover is maintained as in recent months, the country's import and export turnover in 2025 may reach a record of 900 billion USD.

Import and export turnover reached more than 80 billion USD/month in 3 consecutive months
According to statistics released by the Customs Department, in September, the country's import and export turnover reached 82.49 billion USD.
Of which, the country's export turnover reached 42.67 billion USD, down by 1.7% compared to the previous month. Despite a slight downward trend, the export turnover still remained at a level higher than 40 billion USD/month and still achieved a growth of 24.77% compared to the same period last year.
In September alone, there were 10 groups of goods reaching a turnover of 1 billion USD or more. Leading the way were computers, electronic products and components with 10.59 billion USD, up 4.3% compared to the previous month.
Machinery, equipment, tools and spare parts ranked second with 5.6 billion USD, up by 8.1%; the third was phones and components with 5.4 billion USD, down by5.6%.
The following positions included textiles with 3.26 billion USD (down by 15.6%); footwear with 1.7 billion USD (down by 14.4%); means of transport and spare parts with 1.38 billion USD (down by 6.7%); wood and wood products with 1.36 billion USD (down by 6.9%); vegetables and fruits with 1.31 billion USD (up by 38%); toys, sports equipment and parts with 1.06 billion USD (down by 1.5%); seafood with 1.01 billion USD (down by 5.6%).
In contrast, the imports in September reached 39.82 billion USD, a slight increase of 0.4% compared to the previous month and an increase of 24.83% compared to the same period of 2024.
There were 5 groups of goods with a turnover of 1 billion USD or more, including: computers, electronic products and components; machinery, equipment, tools, spare parts; fabrics of all kinds; phones of all kinds and components; plastic raw materials.
Thus, September was the third consecutive month that the country's import-export turnover has reached an impressive figure of over 80 billion USD/month.
Previously, the figure of July reached 82.29 billion USD and that of August reached 83.06 billion USD - the highest results since the beginning of the year.
By the end of September, the total import-export turnover reached 680.66 billion USD, an increase of 17.66% over the same period of 2024.
Of which, exports reached 348.74 billion USD, an increase of 16% over the same period last year; imports reached 331.92 billion USD, an increase of 18.8%. The trade balance in the first 9 months had a surplus of 16.82 billion USD.
Notably, although it was only the end of September, the country's import-export turnover was approximately equal to the results achieved in the whole year of 2023 (2023 reached 681 billion USD).
On average, the import-export turnover in the past 9 months was 75.63 billion USD/month. If this average level is maintained in the remaining 3 months of 2025, by the end of this year, the country's export turnover will reach more than 907 billion USD - a record number ever.
In a more optimistic scenario, if the fourth quarter turnover remains at 80 billion USD or higher/month as in the third quarter, the end of 2025 will witness the milestone of 920 billion USD.
In the third scenario, which is also very optimistic, if the increase of 17.66% compared to 2024 is maintained as in the past 9 months, in 2025, the import-export turnover will increase by about 139 billion USD and end the year with a figure of over 925 billion USD.
All three scenarios mentioned above are not difficult to implement because in fact, in recent years, the scale of the country's import-export turnover has tended to increase sharply in the last months of the year because this is the time when there are many holidays and Tet, so the demand for shopping and consumption increases both domestically and internationally.
For example, in the third quarter, the country's import-export turnover reached 247.84 billion USD, accounting for 36.41% of the country's turnover in 9 months.
On average, in the third quarter, import and export reached more than 82.61 billion USD/month. This figure is more than 10 billion USD/month higher than the average of the first 6 months of the year (the average of the first 6 months of the year reached 72.14 billion USD/month).
Or like in 2024 before, the accumulated 6 months, the total import and export turnover only reached 369.92 billion USD, accounting for 47% of the whole year's turnover (the whole year reached 786.29 billion USD).
And entering the third quarter of 2024, the import and export turnover also increased with the figure reaching 208.57 billion USD, accounting for 36% of the turnover of 9 months of 2024 - this proportion is quite similar to the results of 2025 as analyzed above.
Or before that, the first 6 months of 2023 also only accounted for 46.48% of the whole year's turnover.
On the other hand, our country's key import-export markets and commodity groups are all experiencing positive growth at double-digit rates.
The above evidence shows that the 900 billion USD milestone by 2025 is completely within reach.
CK
Source: VITIC/ haiquanonline.com.vn