AsemconnectVietnam - According to Kinhtedothi, domestic coffee prices ranged between 92,000 and 92,500 VND/kg on June 26, 2025. Despite oversold signals on both futures exchanges and a weakening US dollar, coffee prices failed to recover. The primary factor behind the continued decline is the massive influx of new crop supply from Brazil.

In detail:
• In Di Linh, Lâm Hà, and Bảo Lộc (Lâm Đồng): 92,000 VND/kg.
• In Cư M'gar (Đắk Lắk): 92,500 VND/kg.
• In Ea H’leo and Buôn Hồ (Đắk Lắk): 92,400 VND/kg.
• In Đắk Nông: 92,500 VND/kg, and in Gia Nghĩa and Đắk R’lấp: 92,400 VND/kg.
• In Gia Lai: 92,100 VND/kg in Chư Prông and 92,000 VND/kg in Pleiku and La Grai.
• In Kon Tum: 92,100 VND/kg.
Domestic coffee prices continued to fall compared to the same time yesterday.
Global Market Update:
In the latest trading session:
• Robusta prices in London fell sharply:
o July 2025 contract: down 158 USD/ton to 3,524 USD/ton
o September 2025 contract: down 160 USD/ton to 3,474 USD/ton
• Arabica prices in New York also plunged:
o July 2025 contract: down 6.85 cents/lb to 304.5 cents/lb
o September 2025 contract: down 7.75 cents/lb to 298.8 cents/lb
Both exchanges continued to see significant declines. Arabica dropped back to the 300 cent/lb mark, while Robusta hovered around 3,500 USD/ton.
Oversold technical indicators on both markets, combined with a weakening USD, were insufficient to halt the price slide. The main pressure comes from Brazil’s abundant new crop supply, especially Robusta.
Investor sentiment, particularly among speculators, remains shaky due to recession fears, further dragging down prices. Despite the already oversold condition, selling pressure remains strong.
As of early June 26 (Vietnam time), the US Dollar Index (DXY)—which measures the greenback’s value against six major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF)—fell 0.14% to 97.72. The USD hit its lowest levels in years against the euro and British pound as traders increasingly expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and shift focus to fiscal policy.
Domestic Perspective:
Speaking to the press, Mr. Trịnh Đức Minh, Chairman of the Buon Ma Thuot Coffee Association (Đắk Lắk province), said the recent drop in coffee prices is not unusual, as Brazil is enjoying a bountiful harvest, especially Robusta. According to him, only about 10–15% of coffee remains in the hands of farmers, meaning most had already sold at high prices earlier.
He noted that while prices around 100,000 VND/kg are lower than before, they are still considered reasonable and ensure a fair balance of interests across the coffee production and distribution chain.
Farmers in key growing localities like Dak Lak and Kon Tum report favorable weather conditions this year, with minimal impacts from climate change, fostering optimism for stable yields.
Coffee plantations replanted four years ago are now entering their high-yield phase, further supporting production expectations.
Vietnam exported 823,900 tonnes of coffee in the first five months of 2025 for $4.7 billion, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade.
The average export price has been $5,709 per tonne (including processed coffee), reflecting a 63% year-on-year increase.
Major markets such as Germany, Italy, Spain, the U.S., and Japan continue to drive demand.
Emerging markets in the Middle East, Africa and the Americas are increasingly contributing to Vietnam’s coffee export growth.
T.Huong
Source: Vitic