Despite recent rainfall, Vietnam projected a decline in its coffee yield for the 2024-2025 crop compared to the current crop, as coffee cherries and trees have been unable to fully recover from the preceding drought. Moreover, the anticipated return of La Nina, which will replace El Nino in the latter half of 2024, presents the risk of storms and floods during the crucial late harvest season. The aforementioned challenges, coupled with the current low coffee inventory levels among farmers, poses as a significant obstacle in promoting coffee sales. Consequently, Vietnam's coffee supply is expected to face considerable difficulties in the near future.

Coffee farmers have sharply increased use of irrigation in the main producing regions of the country amid excessive dryness, but they are now running low on water.

So far this season, many farmers have used irrigation as much as seven times already, compared with five times usually in a normal season, and they are seeing the need to irrigate coffee trees for an eighth time if they have water, said J.Ganes Consulting LLC in notes from a crop tour in Vietnam.